Recession the primary downside risk
There’s naturally a lot of focus on the energy market right now, with Gazprom reducing gas flows to Europe via Nord Stream 1 to only 20% from tomorrow. The news didn’t come as a massive shock even if it did trigger a 10% spike in the price. It’s not the first or last move that will ensure European supplies remain extremely tight throughout winter.
Oil prices have pushed higher and above USD 100 once more with events yesterday just another reminder of the plight of extremely tight markets and tensions with one of the world’s largest suppliers. It’s not going to get any more comfortable, with the primary downside factor for prices being a recession. It could be an interesting week on that front.
Gold slips ahead of the Fed
Gold has eased off its highs of recent days, with risk-averse markets favouring the dollar at this point in time. While its performance since Thursday has been encouraging, it never looked particularly sustainable and we may now be seeing evidence of that. It promises to be a massive couple of days for the yellow metal.
For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar: www.marketpulse.com/economic-events/
This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.
Based in London, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a market analyst. With many years of experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while producing macroeconomic commentary.
His views have been published in the Financial Times, Reuters, The Telegraph and the International Business Times, and he also appears as a regular guest commentator on the BBC, Bloomberg TV, FOX Business and SKY News.
Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and is recognised as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.
